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Civil War in Thailand in 2014? Head of Thai Army Warns It’s Possible

armed demonstrators yellow shirts thailand
Armed demonstrators from the yellow shirts or PAD in 2008. The same people (in different colored shirts) that are now demonstrating against the government again in 2013. Photo copyright Manic Mark – Creative Commons License

Head of Thai army says civil war in Thailand is possible

Last year, a Thai client I was meeting with happened to mention he and many of his friends were convinced there would be a civil war in Thailand. At the time, I pooh-poohed the idea as I didn’t see any signs the political situation in Thailand was any worse than it has been for the last five or six years. Fast forward a year, and I’m inclined to agree with him. As the head of the Thai army has also come out this weekend warning about the same thing, it seems I’m not the only one.

According to the BBC, General Prayuth Chan-ocha, head of the Thai army, says if the country cannot get past its political divide it could ‘trigger a civil war’. Now, when the head of the Thai army is saying that, you know the situation is serious.

Then, when you add in neither side is willing to back down, and former Thai prime minister Abhisit Vejjajiva (unelected) and former deputy prime minister Suthep Thueaksuban (a thug and wanted on charges of insurrection) are obviously willing to push the country to civil war due to their hatred of ousted (and elected) prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra, and you know civil war is a distinct possibility.

What to do if you are non-Thai and concerned about a civil war

All I can say is, if you are a non-Thai living in Thailand, make sure most of your money is safe outside the country and that you have a plane ticket, so you can leave Thailand if civil war is imminent.

If you are a tourist planning on a vacation in Thailand, be sure you can either afford to lose the money you will have to pay to book your vacation and flights if there is a civil war. Or that you can use that money to rebook a vacation somewhere else. If not, reconsider booking a vacation in Thailand until it’s more obvious where the political situation is heading.

If you are a business person and considering investing in Thailand? It’s entirely up to you. At this point, however, I have no intention of doing so.

So……a civil war in Thailand in 2014?

While I hope that does not happen, it is a distinct possibility, and if things continue the way they are politically, Thailand will move closer to civil war every day. Particularly if the anti-government forces (read Abhisit, Suthep and their merry band of idiots) keep pushing their agenda.

After all, their party, the Democrat Party has not been able to get elected since 1992. It seems they might believe a civil war in Thailand will help their cause?

Meanwhile, for more on what General Prayuth Chan-ocha had to say about a possible civil war in Thailand, read the BBC article here.